Dotting the I’S & Crossing the T’S
Hezbollah & the nomination of General Aoun
Written by Nasser Kandil,
The adherence of Hezbollah to the nomination of General Michel Aoun was not mere a moral fidelity to his stable attitudes with the resistance only, His nomination according to the Hezbollah is like the election of the President Nabih Berri in the parliament. The fidelity drives Hezbollah to pay the bills on its own account which neither related to the parliament nor to the ministry.
The nomination of General Aoun according to Hezbollah is based on a methodological review of the complicated relations among the Lebanese sects. On the grounds that, Hezbollah becomes aware that a balanced sectarian Lebanese regime based on a real implicit satisfaction of all sects is better for Lebanon, than a civil non sectarian regime, one of its sects feel with compulsion, than a sectarian regime that grants an enormous majority for the Shiite sect, to which Hezbollah belongs and tries to keep its position within the political equation, as long as this distinctive position makes the other sects feel with coercion and injustice.
In the review, Hezbollah adopts a critical reading of the experience of the government of the President Mikati ,as for as previous similar experiences, on a basis of constituting a government that its president does not have the satisfaction of the important majority of the Sunni sect. The three aspects of the presidency is the convention according to the experience and the reading of Hezbollah, the parliamentary and the governmental composition is the preservation of the political pluralism within the sects, their magnitudes, and their natural presence in each sect, without lending magnitudes which the electoral game of the other sects granted them for it.
Hezbollah is discussing the law of election on this basis of how to achieve a fair representation of the various political movements within the sects, through making the presences close to their representatives, but without falling into the trap of the dangerous federalization. Here the relativity is a main constant according to the distribution in domains that takes into consideration the geopolitical structure of the sects’ localization regionally.
Each defect in the presidencies leads to the uncertainty of the entity’s convention, this means the presidency of the parliament which is granted to the President Nabih Berri cannot accept the bargain whatever the parliamentary balances are, the same is applied on the presidency of General Aoun.
Lebanon will be without a president for the parliament and for the government, if the substitute is a violation of the convention, and consequently Lebanon will be without a republic president. Here the concurrent standard is based on the process of achieving the benefits and not on the concept of barter. The presidencies of Micheil Aoun and Saad Al-Hariri are interrelated, not due to the barter but due to the convention. The criterion of having a president is that he must represent the preponderant majority of the presidential sect, as a source of political and constitutional stability.
According to this equation, the refusal of the presidency of Aoun is an expression of their refusal to the convention principally, or their readiness to sacrifice with it, in order to be able to dominate, or at least it is because of a political guile, but probably it is the two conditions together, due to the relation of Aoun with Hezbollah. So the logic of the refusals becomes to have a revenge against Hezbollah through a mediator and weakening it through mediator, because the convention will present a president who is of its friends and a supporter to its choices, The depriving of his position is going through a malicious manner, getting closer to Hezbollah formally, and asking it to have an understanding about the presidency under the slogan that “ Let us withdraw our two candidates and search for alternative “ The goal is to make Aoun pay the price of his alliance with Hezbollah, because the competitors who are driven away, do not have the popular rank as the total votes of the Christian electors show, or as the Christian parliamentary seats express, so how about the parliamentary seats which are achieved with the Christian votes.
If all the needed characteristics and conditions for the presidency are making of Aoun the first candidate, and if all of what is going around are trying to drive him away because of his distinctive relation with Hezbollah, even if the result was a serious attack of the convention, and making the relation between the sects at risk. So is Hezbollah requested to prove its flexibility and care of the country by approving on the malicious plan, to obtain the good degree in the exam that is conducted by the others, who are laughing privately that their plot have got its purposes.
Hezbollah chooses the timing to talk about the settlements in the region, since the sights are towards it as a decisive force in the war against terrorism, a spiritual leader and a supporter in the expertise and the experiences of the forces, which are fighting in Yemen and Iraq, a practical supporter, and as a real pillar in Lebanon and Syria beside their two armies. A leader delegation of Hezbollah has visited General Aoun and said: the nomination of General Aoun is not subject to barter. The equation is, who wants Hezbollah to be the striking force in fighting terrorism, has to understand the message. Hezbollah will feel with security if there is a country headed by General Aoun for a thousand of reasons.
2014-11-17 | عدد القراءات 1570
