Dotting the I’S & Crossing the T’S
A solution in Ukraine similar to the Syrian style
Written by Nasser Kandil,
The Ukrainian crisis started as a Western American investment in the close neighborhood of Russia, and the most painful in the concept of the vital extent and the national security, on a fragile internal basis that is ready to be shattered, by virtue of the hybrid composition in which neither the nation’s components nor the unified memory of the homeland have completed. The political formation processes of the Ukrainian country have tried the excessive mobilization that exceeded the ability of tolerating the internal equation of the external components, since the disintegration of the Soviet Union. Ukraine has become an internal background that is controlled by the external balances.
The Ukrainian situation like Lebanon before the year 1982, and the presence of the Israeli threat directly as a factor in changing the rules of the internal and regional balances, and its role in the emergence of the resistance as a factor of change in the midst of the open long confrontation into a strategic element in the industry of the regional scene on one hand, and a source of strength and immunity of Lebanon against the expanded Israeli aggression since 1948, the occupation of Palestine, and a reason for a general Lebanese hope in the victory against terrorism on the other hand.
Lebanon is like Ukraine in the division of the community culturally, intellectually, and politically between the loyalty to the Western plan which was taken behind a majority of Christians, and the loyalty of the Arab identity which was overwhelmed the feelings and loyalty of the majority among the Muslims. As the divisions in the year 1920 which have showed on the day when the King Faisal has announced the Syrian country and the Coast Conferences have called to joint it, while the announcement of the Big Lebanon has formed a polarization axis of the mountain forces at that time. This division has remained like coals under ashes in order to be exploded in the years 1952 and 1958, till the end of the protracted civil war in the year 1975. It becomes clear that every change in the relations balances between the West and the Arab plans in time of Jamal Abdul Nasser and then Hafez Al-Assad means the use of the fragile Lebanese balance to change the regional powers balances and may the international ones, and every change in the powers balances between the two plans leads to make one team internally to be stronger than the other in an investment of this change.
In Ukraine the same thing has happened since the collapse of the Soviet Union, where the Eastern Ukrainian who were citizens of Russian ancestries did not hesitate to say that the joining to Russia was a hope that overcame their belonging to the unified Ukraine, while according to the Western Ukraine, the European belonging overcame the associated Ukrainian identity, towards the disharmony on a religious basis between the two doctrines the Catholic and the Orthodox for both the East and West. Thus Ukraine is living on a hot vibrating geologist basis as long as there was instability in the balances between Russia and Europe and America after wards. And as the Eastern Ukrainians asked to join to Russia publically as the Western Ukrainians asked about joining the North Atlantic Treaty, unafraid of what will cause of a danger of the going in a direct war with Russia that will not bring only a ruin to their country.
It is not a new American discovery of Ukraine as a point of weakness of the Russian national security, Henry Kissinger the most prominent American former Minister of Foreign Affairs, and zbigniew Brezezinski the most prominent American National Security Center Adviser, both of them have already written and said in 1980 that with the ascending of the Cold War with the Soviet Union, Moscow will collapse from Kiev.
Russia has paid attention to the words of the Caesar Catherine the Second two centuries ago, that the security line of Moscow starts from Damascus, so it invested the sources of power to plunge into a battle of regaining its rank as a Great country, it participated in politics industry from the position of the full partnership around the world, especially what it considered as its vital extent, so the Americans remembered the speech of Kissinger and Brezezinski so they agitated Ukraine which it already excited against Moscow.
Russia has withstood and resolved the matter of Crimea Peninsula the strategic golden area in Ukraine as a center of the Russian fleet, the linkage of Russia with the Black Sea in preparation to pass towards the internationality through the Mediterranean entry, the Western Ukrainians have withstood, there was a confrontation in which Kiev has mobilized quarter of a million troops and it has sacrificed of thousands of its soldiers between murdered and injuries. The West has spent nearly two billion dollars on the Kiev government in order to remain stand still, it has settled the outcome, that Moscow will not retreat after the historical speech of the Russian President Vladimir Putin in the Association of the countries of the Russian Union by saying that Crimea for the Russians as Al Aqsaa Mosque for the Muslims, the Church of the Resurrection for the Christians, and the Temple Suleiman for the Jews. Russia is ready for the confrontation and achieving victory, it will not accept the humiliation of its depriving it from its right to be treated as a superpower and a full partner in the international background according to all the components of geography, arms, and economy.
Ceasing fire in Ukraine will hold this time, the truce will take place in the process of deploying the observers and will finish with the political solution in accordance with the provisions of Minsk Agreement, towards the amendment of the constitution of Ukraine, and the going to a referendum about the federal country, because America and Europe are desperate of imposing the fait accompli policy on Moscow, and moving it towards the retreat. The world witnessed the end of the wars between the two axes which are circulated around the Syrian crisis, staring from Ukraine despite the difficulty of the negotiation, and despite the magnitude of the internal Ukraine complexities, and the magnitude of the outstanding issues between Moscow and Washington from sanctions to the missile shield.
A solution in Ukraine similar to Syrian style, Minsk Agreement is like the Syrian Geneva. But the beginning is the admission of the facts firstly, and then the negotiation and developing the needed details for the success of the understandings, the evil is always exit in the details, but it seemed that it has consumed its attempts.
Translated by Lina Shehadeh
2014-12-14 | عدد القراءات 1674
