Dotting the I’S & Crossing the T’S
Dempsey’s disappointment ….Everything has been settled
Written by Nasser Kandil,
The General Martin Dempsey has not come to Baghdad on his white horse as he wished and wanted, his considerations were that ISIS will put Iran and its allies in front of a dilemma, it’s title was that the threat of ISIS is preceding and approaching the red lines in Baghdad, Samarra, the borders with Iran, in addition to the North East of Syria towards Aleppo, this as well will meet the dilemma of Al Nosrah in the S’outhern of Syria, it is connecting across the borders with those whom Al Nosrah and ISIS represent of an attrition in Lebanon , that forms a challenge on the areas of the incubator environment of the resistance.
The source of bet on which Dempsey has depended in his equation was that the presence of ISIS will not terminated without ground act, and that the aerial raids are not enough to achieve victory. It is in Iraq and Lebanon, As a result of the sectarian composition of the forces which belong to the alliance of the resistance, and according to the American estimates, it is impossible to achieve ground progress against ISIS without agitating a paralleled and opposed sectarian doctrinal strife that secures ISIS and protects its forces, unless the attacking force has mixed sectarian coverage, but such of this coverage is impossible without Saudi Arabia and Turkey and their expansions in Iraq and Yemen. Moreover, the red lines which are drawn by Turkey and Israel in the north and south of Syria will prevent the Syrian army from the progress towards ISIS and Al Nosrah, while what is going on between Washington and its allies in Turkey, Israel, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia is the discussion of the political solution in Syria, on basis of considering Al- Nosrah after its successful disengagement of Al –Qaeda the main pillar of the concept of the moderate opposition on one hand, and the reconsideration of the Muslim Brotherhood after Saudi Arabia has accepted to recede of its supporting of Egypt in one party against them, and its opposition to the Egyptian request of punishing Qatar about its attitude in the United Nations against the project of the Egyptian decision regarding Libya on the other hand, and the tuning of the alliance of Muslim Brotherhood and Al –Qaeda to a last horse of the Saudi bet in Yemen.
Three years ago, America has said that the process of wars in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon is on its path, thus the rotating was characteristic of the military situation against Al Nosrah and ISIS, while the Israeli red lines in the North and the Turkish lines in the South seem that they have been settled in order to prevent the progress of the Syrian army, while Al Nosrah is progressing, Furthermore, the Iraqi army is progressing in one range but the fighters of ISIS are penetrating its sites in a front of no less importance, so the Americans have drawn a long-term scenario for a war with ISIS and Al Nosrah, since they have the control.
The Americans have been astonished by the magnitude of the equations which Al Sayyed Hasan Nasrollah has drawn in his TV emergence, before the raid of Al Quneitra, they have been more astonished by the size and the quality of the supportive Syrian-Iranian attitudes of what they called the seismic resistance after the raid. Despite their expectation of such a respond, they have been more astonished with the dazzling and the accurately of what they have seen in Shebaa Farms, and the speech of Al Sayyed Hasan Nasrollah about the changing of the engagement rules that has followed, in addition to the Israeli weakness which affected the Saudi and the Turkish morale.
The American have discovered that the equations are changing, but they did not take into consideration that the comprehensive war against ISIS and Al Nosrah has finished its preparation in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon, and that there was a wrong bet which made them think that they have the initiative, because the fear of strife is enough to prevent the resistance’s alliance from such an attack, as the wrong bet when the Lebanese government presided by the Prime Minister Fouad Al Siniora has issued a resolution about dismantling the communication network of the resistance, they thought that the fear of the resistance about the strife, will ensure not to respond. As the seventh of May has come before, now the Seventh of March has come to show that the sites of ISIS and Al Nosrah are collapsing without the ability of Washington to use the international and the regional paper for blackmailing, after it seemed that the resistance’s alliance was able to avoid the threat of the strife by its own capacities.
The Saudis, Turkish , and the Israelis have become angry, and their wailing, crying, and screaming can do nothing, because all the components of Iraq are participating in the war, for this reason General Dempsey has come in a hurry to negotiate with the Iraqi tribes, and to promise to free the arms of the Iraqi army, asking for restricting the Iranian role especially the role of Hezbollah, but he heard the seizing of the tribes and the Iraqi government of the two roles, so he has not anything except to join the marathon which has been launched by the resistance’s alliance, and to accept to work accordingly.
The war against ISIS neither waits for the satisfaction of Saudi Arabia and Turkey to have a compromise upon a role, nor waits for the American elections where the blood of the people were an account in the ballot boxes, nor the red lines in the North and South of Syria which drawn by the Israeli and the Turkish will prevent the war against ISIS, and there will not be a place for Al Nosrah in the political process whatever were the improving attempts, this in case if Al Nosrah remains.
Translated by Lina Shehadeh,
2015-03-11 | عدد القراءات 1946
