Dotting the I’S & Crossing the T’S
Yemen towards arming
Written by Nasser Kandil,
On the eve of the crucial moments of the Iranian understanding with the West, and as an understanding that cannot be stopped, Israel resorts to the Palestinian interior to escape from the war and peace; it frees the herds of settlers, in which every militia has its own minister in the government. So the Syrian and the Iraqi path becomes clear, and where the title of victory has emerged, after ISIS had exhausted of its escalating ability, and after the Saudi and Turkish extortion had depleted the sectarian titles, So what will Saudi Arabia do?
The Yemeni path was an opportunity for Saudi Arabia to engage within the new facts in the region, where the uprising through which the rebels have dominated on Sanaa without a drop of blood, has produced an equation and balances that enable the producing of a settlement. This makes the Saudi Iranian negotiation a balanced fact and an opportunity for spreading stability in the region. So Saudi Arabia has decided to resort to ruin without a road map, to the behavior of obstinacy, malice, and hatred without scenario, to depend on blood without a goal. But after it had operated all its engines and activated all its resources, relationships, and treasuries, it succeeded in securing Mansour Hadi in Aden accompanied with few officials, and some military sites for Al Qaeda, moreover it has moved the embassies of the Gulf countries to Aden, and has culminated Riyadh as an impossible title for impossible dialogue.
Agitating the war in Yemen will not succeed in appealing for neither an Egyptian intervention, nor for Turkish, American, or French one, furthermore, there is no country among the Gulf countries which dares to interfere, and at their forefront Saudi Arabia. But the limit of what is going to be is the international resolutions that do not reach the extent of intervention. Therefore, nothing in the equations is going to be changed. For example the resolution of the Security Council has condemned the refusal of Al Houthis of the Gulf initiative, and the legitimacy of Mansour Hadi, but what else?
The Security Council gives who has the ability to interfere a political cover, in order to be able to claim that it disciplines a group that it is outside the international law, and which is rebellious against the resolutions of the Security Council, so what is this group?, Till now Mansour Hadi and his partners are like the leaders of the Syrian opposition, just political and informative interfaces, and the Southern Movement which was joyful of the separation of the South will discover that it was a victim of a trick that has stolen the South from it, so Al Qaeda Organization is the only one which will carry out the resolution of the Security Council, which means the fight against Al Houthis.
Saudi Arabia has succeeded in creating the war‘s conditions in Yemen, and closing the attempts in front of the settlement, by turning it into a surrender that is not going to occurred. It has imposed on Al Houthis the militarily confrontation and the termination, where their troops can arrive, and announce a revolutionary legitimacy that can direct the regions which their troops entered, just as the day when the South of Yemen has emerged from Aden as a separated country of the North.
Two governments are racing to have the provinces of Yemen. It is clear that it is a real war between Al Houthis on one hand and Al Qaeda on the other hand, and that the revolutionary legitimacy has become a necessity for Al Houthis to continue the steadfastness and managing the areas which are under their control, and organizing the areas which they are entering.
The Yemeni map will decide a lot, because till now the Saudi borders are under the control of Al Houthis, despite the attempt of Saudi Arabia to make a security belt in Hadramout through its affiliated groups. Mansour Hadi and his group were trapped in Aden, while the rebels are advancing in Ta’izz. They have isolated Ma’rib of Lahij, Ad dali, and Ibb . The isolation of Aden of Ma’rib remains with the entrance to Shabwah from Al Baidaa inorder to meet the troops which fully controlled over the outskirts of Aden among the progressed troops of Taiz. Shabwah will say the final word because it links Aden with Hadramout, and Aden with Ma’rib. From Shabwah, Aden is resolved and the unity of Yemen will be protected.
The final word is for the arms, just for the arms. The rebels since their entrance to Sanaa have showed all the wisdom and flexibility for opening the way for the political solution, but they have not been faced except by the circumvention and maneuver, and wasting time for a preparation for a conspiracy after a conspiracy. But the time is for who will impose the fait accompli by the strength of arms. It was a war that the rebels did not seek, but at the same time, they did not fear it, as long as the Saudis wanted it an open war, so the rebels will say let it be an open war, otherwise Yemen is going towards erosion and disintegration, even the one who wants the negotiation and the political solution, his obligatory way becomes the arms, just in order to impose equations that say” it is inevitable only to accept the new facts.”
Translated by Lina Shehadeh,
2015-03-24 | عدد القراءات 2032
