Dotting the I’S & Crossing the T’S
The attacks of ISIS and Al-Nosrah
Written by Nasser Kandil,
It is remarkable for the observers, the concurrence between the wide attacks which are carried out by Al-Norah Front and ISIS organization on the rhythm of war which launched by Saudi Arabia against Yemen, as if they are one front that is launched from one operational room, that has a unified goal agenda which is related to what Saudi Arabia attains from its war. When the Saudis stop their attacks, it seems that the fighting fronts in Syria and Iraq live in a state of indifference, either because the Saudi stopping is a consideration of the war’s outcomes and opportunities for gaining negotiating costs, therefore the orders are issued to ISIS and Al-Nosrah through complicated channels starts from Mohammed Bin Nayef to the sheikhs of Mecca and thoroughly to the spread advocates between the organization of ISIS and Al-Nosrah Front, or through Adel Al-Jubeir to Washington and Ankara where there are common operational rooms that gather the Turks with each one of ISIS and Al-Nosrah, or may be the opposite occurs, that after every attack ISIS and Al-Nosrah need a time to feel the achievement, and thus the movement becomes reverse. Saudi Arabia stops the round of its war because its war is noise and much ado about nothing, and the mission of its war was confirming the presence without the illusion of achieving goals, while the real bet is on what is achieved by Al-Nosrah and what is imposed by ISIS.
The observer of the Saudi war against Yemen can quickly make sure of the absurdity of the Saudi bets and illusions on achieving direct goals concerning controlling over a crucial part of the Yemeni geography after the events of the war which start almost two months ago, or concerning the attempts to weaken the political grasp of the Yemeni rebels who have shown an ability to withstand, stabilize and adopt political speech that does not affect or retreat under the pressure of attacks, on the contrary it succeeds in absorbing and containing till it becomes able to organize counter attacks or estimating the need for them, Therefore the Saudi bet on the successes of ISIS and Al-Nosrah by creating new stressful events in Iraq and Syria, where the Saudis directly and through the American role and its impact of Turkey and Qatar will have the opportunity to control the outcomes and distributing them between the Yemeni, Syrian, and the Iraqi grounds, thus the stopping of ISIS and Al-Nosrah will be coincided with the stopping of the Saudi war by linking them with political gains entitled in Yemen where the pressure is aerial only, and in Iraq and Syria where the pressure is in the ground only, therefore it would be a war of one army where it waded on the ground in Syria and Iraq and in the air in Yemen, according to the equation of the preliminary bombing in Yemen and the attack of Al Ramadi and Palmyra after Jisr Al Shogour and Idlib.
The war of Al-Qalamoun has constituted a counter attack for the resistance party within the heart of this engagement, it has succeeded in achieving a first strategic accomplishment by separating the southern of the Lebanese-Syrian borders from their northern and thus preventing its impeded on one hand, and preventing the linkage between Al Nosrah and ISIS’s troops which are centralized in the North of Al-Qalamoun with the foothills of Hermon Mountain where the Israeli army is there on the other hand. This can change the whole region if has been achieved, but this success has constituted a knockdown for the dream of linking which the leaders of Al-Qaeda organization have waited and fought for it for two years. The Israeli processes against the Syrian army and the resistance have occured in order to keep that dream alive. In front of the expected sequential processes in the war of Al-Qalamoun and the threats of their turning into a rolling war towards the countryside of Homs and Al-Raqqa, Sauid Arabia is returning back to ignite Yemen and the units of ISIS return back to attack Al Ramadi and Palmyra in order to put a plan that makes the war controlled by a stable defense line that prevents the progress of the attackers from Al-Qalamoun, so the leadership of ISIS links its units which are still in Al-Qalamoun with its units which are in Al Raqqa and Al Anbar, thus it has a fighting plan that commensurate with the magnitude of expectations for the coming battles.
The international American, British, French, and Iranian press agree that the failure in the war against ISIS either in Syria or Iraq is not on the behalf of the resistance party but on America and the alliance which it led, and that the war was is against ISIS for a year since its birth, it is the war of America alone, it was impossible to enter the war line without a coordination with a force that launched five thousands raids till now, and its leader said that ISIS is in its way of retreat and collapse. So the world will turn towards Iran, Syria, and Iraq and will say you have failed, it is enough to pay attention that America which breaded ISIS in the confines of Turkey to deplete the resistance alliance and subjected it, has wanted to monopolize the war in order to be able to control its processes, but the achievement of any success for the account of ISIS under the responsibility of America, will collapse its leadership and paves the way to interfere in the resistance alliance according to its considerations not according to the coordination with America, Just for that the counter attack seems in Palmyra and Al Ramadi a task that will be faced by the resistance forces especially in each of Syria and Iraq but on the basis of not respecting the American taboo, because the popular crowd will be present strongly in Iraq, while the aerial bombing in Syria against the dominated areas of ISIS will not subject to a coordination with America.
The harmony between the continuation of Al-Qalamoun war and the starting of the counter attack in Al- Ramadi and Palmyra is a responsibility that will be faced by the Syrian and Iraqi armies, and each one of them has the support of the Iranian ally, the popular forces, and the resistance.
We will witness at the end of this month with the date of the private Geneva dialogue in Yemen an end of a round through which the events from Al-Qalamoun to Palmyra and Al Ramadi may reveal something new, then we will hear a Saudi speech about a humanitarian truce.
Translated by Lina Shehadeh,
2015-05-22 | عدد القراءات 1955
