Dotting the I’S & Crossing the T’S
A nuclear reading in the American – Iranian political negotiation
Written by Nasser Kandil,
The analysts and the observers have used to read politically the American Iranian nuclear negotiation, on the basis of the supposed title which got stuck in minds about the conflict and then the negotiation, but the observer of the process of the negotiations between the nuclear and the politician aspects will simply find that the nuclear aspect is following the politician one and not vice versa.
The West which is led by America has invaded into the confrontation with Iran, under the title of the doubt of the credibility of its commitments to peaceful limits, where the nuclear file of Iran has not included a recognition of the legitimacy of its right in enrichment, and where it has not reached the stage that allows it to manufacture centrifuge sets which conduct the process of enrichment. Now it accepts the same commitments which it has refused before, so it has to admit of the right of Iran in the enrichment, after the title of the sanctions was to prevent Iran from possessing the technology of enrichment, since it is considered the separated link between the peaceful nuclear and the military use of the nuclear energy, but suddenly the enrichment has no longer become an indication of the militarization of the program.
The media and the legal campaigns which are organized by the International Atomic Energy Agency, which as a supplementary organization of the United Nations is supposed to be far from the interests and the political goals, or at least it tries to show its attitudes on that basis, have concentrated for a long time on two sides of the Iranian nuclear program after the enrichment, first, it is the doubt in the existence of heavy-water reactors that produce plutonium, which is one of the most dangerous radioactive isotopes because of its susceptibility to be used in the war. Second, the attainment of twenty percent of the enriched phase, through which the access of the higher enrichment can be available, through the amendments of the software because it is a technical obstacle in the enrichment process for military purposes. Without convincing justifications and for some reasons that are not related to the improvement of the negotiation circumstances between Washington and Tehran, the agency has approved on the two Iranian programs first, for the enrichment till the twenty percent limit for the necessary quantities needed for the scientific research. Second it has approved on the program of the heavy-water reactor of the energy in Natanz, its inspectors have visited it and have issued a positive report on its compliance with the security factors that are formed by the agency, Thus, Iran has a right that was deprived of by the laws of the same agency.
In the report of the Atlantic Alliance in 2010, the countries of the alliance have adopted a policy towards the Iranian nuclear file, that is related to the growing missile weapon of Iran, and the danger of having a country, which already has this ballistic missile energy a peaceful nuclear ability, because the transition to military use becomes available at once, as the General Secretary of the alliance has said at that time, that the one who observes the current negotiations and their titles, does not find any attempt to talk about the Iranian missile weapon, since the famous missile maneuver of Iran in the Gulf against the American carriers, is followed by a first message from the American President Barak Obama to the Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran Al Sayyed Ali Al- Khamenei, in which he asked for a negotiated solution for the conflicts and a confirmation that his country neither want an aggravation nor a confrontation with Iran.
Among the enrichment which is principally forbidden, the enrichment as a theoretical right, the enrichment as a practical fact of the scientific researchers at the degree of twenty percent, and the needed quantities of the enrichment to operate the reactors at the five percent degree, was the negotiated development of the nuclear file, which was full of the achievements and the earnings which Iran has realized. So the reason was not the stupidity of the West, but the political strategic aspect of the negotiation.
The American bet was on three points: Diminution of Iran, weakening it, or isolating it away from the Mediterranean and the Gulf. The diminution was through Israeli wars against the resistance forces in Lebanon and Palestine, and this has arrived to an impasse. The weakening through the sanctions, where Iran has to accept what it had refused before, in order to have an economical ease after it was in insolvency, or that the sanctions may succeed in changing the political basis of the regime in Iran, thus Washington brings the mediators as it called, those who accept to disconnect the relationship with the resistance forces. So the dual bet has failed, Iran has remained steady economically and politically and led by the Leader whom the American President has obliged to correspond with for four times, while the West media is talking about the weakness of the adamant Leader, compared with the moderate reformist President. The isolation far away of the Mediterranean is led by the war against Syria which is approaching its end, through the stabilization of the armor of Al- Assad is for Al-Assad, since the American fleets which are fetched to the war have departed, and have withdrawn according to a negotiated solution of the chemical weapon. So the nuclear negotiation is proceeding rapidly through a nuclear energy that uses the enriched plutonium above twenty percent, especially after Iran has become a symbol of an alliance that includes Hezbollah, Syria, Iraq, and the Houthis which constitutes a force that fights ISIL which America has announced its war against it, and has shouted in the allies’ valley: Can anyone support me, so it will neither find Turkey, nor Saudi Arabia, even nor Israel.
The progress in the American Iranian nuclear negotiation has settled realistically,even if the legal achievement has delayed, because in the delay, we have to be aware of that the matter has become related to the ability of America to fulfill the terms of the agreement, including stopping the sanctions, which they seemed that they are waiting for the green light from the Congress in which the Democrats are no longer the prescribed majority.
2014-11-14 | عدد القراءات 1565
