Dotting the I’S & Crossing the T’S
Al-Assad and his regressive wars: the philosophy of victory
Written by Nasser Kandil,
Many people try to understand the secrets of the strategy which controls the approach of the Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad of the composite and complicated wars which Syria is experiencing for four years and a half, where the elements of the civil war were interacted with the wars of the obvious unannounced borders, at the same time from the two fronts the Northern Turkish Front and the Jordanian Southern front, in addition to the traditional bordered front with the Israeli occupation army, along with open global intelligence wars which have multi forces and capacities, and which the media and the Western studies centers write enough about them, moreover, the intelligence of the world power such as America, France, and Britain, and active regional countries such as Saudi Arabia, Israel, and Turkey are engaging in them in vitality and effectiveness. In addition to the fierce destructive war waged by Al-Qaeda Organization which the reports state that it has gathered all its capacities in the world which were not gathered in any country where Al-Qaeda Organization fought, whether in Afghanistan or Iraq to grip its control over Syria. Therefore the funds which were spent in these wars combined are estimated till now a hundred billion dollars and the number of the various means of media which were put in order to win this war is more than one thousand means written, audio, visual, or electronic ones, and at their forefronts those which are the most influential among the media of public opinion –making in the world and the region.
The Syrian President appears in these wars as a boxer receives the blows but he protects his nose and eyes with his steel hands, he moves his blows with his left hand to respond to the attackers without wasting his capacity of withstand or wasting the sources of his strength, he just tries to keep away the harsh punches which are targeted his heart by strong punches, then he goes back without continuing his progress, he defends brilliantly and maneuvers brilliantly but he has not attacked yet, and he has not used his right hand till now without feeling fatigue, he moves with his opponents on the ring, but whenever the attacks become strong, he controls of the flexibility and the movement of his body but he does not fall.
Wars’ experts review questions such as how can a country that is exposing to what Syria is exposing to prevent itself from igniting regional wars while it has the essentials to agitate them, and it has repeatedly the opportunities with Israel, Jordan, and Turkey, knowing that igniting such of these wars which will turn quickly into wars of missiles and would impose quick rhythm on the world in order to interfere to stop them and making settlements, in a way that guarantees Syria the avoidance in continuing the wars of falling and imposes its acceptance as an obligatory partner in these settlements even within formulas that will expand the search for internal Syrian solutions which the others will interfere in their making. Does the Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad trust his ability to such degree in winning the two wars together, his war with those who are targeting his regime despite their plurality and abilities, and his war to protect the Syrian sovereign dimension of the internal political solution, he always refrains from seizing the bordered provocative opportunities and turn them into wars’ projects that pave the way for settlements, so he does not hesitate in continuing his way even when it seems that the danger approaches his capital and he bears the continuation of his fighting even when his allies are subject to questions about the extent of their commitment to him, their standing beside him, and the degree of willingness to share with him a fate that seemed for many times a cause for pessimism.
The wars’ experts review another kind of questions of how can the Syrian President seize his intelligence services which are capable of responding in the same way against who has affected his country of acts of sabotage. So how can he succeed in bearing what is unbearable and did not get angry and ordered of targeting Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or Turkey in similar acts to those which the governments of these countries are holding their arranging and sponsoring against him, his army, and the institutions of his country and in most cases against civilian installations and innocent citizens. He seems that he is a source of wonder because none of his enemies have any accusative minutes against him, that its title is the involvement in terroristic acts despite the horror of what those people do in Syria. The matter here transcends the limits of the personal courage and the ability to bear an open media war against him along the hour, affects him personally by a war of nerves to the extent of targeting him personally, while he has not left his presidential office in the most difficult circumstances of war.
It seems that the strategy of the complicated steadfastness which is led by Al-Assad is confusing in its dazzling results, it is a steadfastness that starts from the personal stability of the President to promote the option of steadfastness among his army, people, and his allies and spreads the tension and the spirit of defeat and failure at the ranks of his opponents based on the equation that the size of disappointment is as the hope. Thus the steadfastness according to the size of capacities of Syria compared with its opponents is a miracle that grants the hope of quick victory of the opponents inside Syria and outside it, and in the same consideration the opposed capacities and the illusions of the quick expected fall of Syria, and the disappointments of the opponents of Al-Assad to withstand. So the more the steadfastness is expanded and its duration lasts the more the allies are encouraged to wage their postponed wars with the same opponents ‘campaign in order to record progress scores in their accounts. This is what has happened in the Ukrainian crisis when Russia has seized the issue of Crimea and resolved it, the same as what has happened at the Iranian nuclear program, the Iranian firmness and the bravery of going to the highest uranium which terrified its opponents and brought them to the understandings of the possible and the available. On the contrary, the more the steadfastness is expanded and its duration lasts the more the opponents fear and start committing mistakes and falling into anxiety in search for equivalent wars sometimes and alternative ones sometimes. So was the war of Israel to change the rules of engagements with the resistance and its reverse results, and the war of Saudi Arabia in Yemen and its culminating with rapid failure, the frustration and the disappointment, and the war of the Turkish leadership against the opposition and the attempt of appropriation, exclusion and cancellation, and its disastrous consequences with the political suicide of the Turkish President who represents the symbol of the war against Syria during the four years.
Al –Assad has not entered his aggressive wars himself, but he imposed them and stimulated towards them, and he will gain their consequences. It is a whole philosophy for making victory by evoking the history and the geography as secret factors in resolving the war, these two factors constitute superior equivalent to what the opponents have of weapons of mass destruction.
Translated by Lina Shehadeh,
2015-06-11 | عدد القراءات 1934
