Dotting the I’S & Crossing the T’S
Southern Storm is a turning point in the war
Written by Nasser Kandil,
A few days ago all the armed factions under the leadership of Al Nusra Front have announced a unified operational room to start the process of march towards Damascus supported by firearm and people across the Jordanian borders by the flowing of thousands of militants accompanied with media and political coverage associated with the attempts of finding a moral gap in the coherence of the central area that is adjacent to Daraa in the south of Syria in Sweida area. These attempts were focused on dismantling Sweida’s relationship with the country, army and its supply lines, they ignited extreme capacity of the participants in the war alliance against Syria from Turkey, Jordan, Israel, and the Deputy Walid Jumblatt and everything was under the pressure of intimidation of massacres and carnages. And while the preparation is continued in the southeast from Daraa, and the confusion was in the center of South in Sweida, the southwest in the foothills of Mountain Hermon was witnessing a harsh attrition war, it suggested that it the real war front, and the illusion that it is the decisive war to open the road to Damascus from Khan Al Sheikh after the fall of Al-Hadr town, and employing the massacres in it to win the battle in Sweida.
Considering what has been prepared for the South of Syria during a whole month must be seen on the background of what has affected the north front of stagnation in the light of two major developments, the first variable, which affected the ability of Turkey to continue the offensive engagement in the war against Syria after the paralysis which the team of the President Recep Erdogan and his party have been exposed to as a result of the elections, from announcing the end of the control over the capacities of the Turkish decision and the entry in a long stage of internal confusion on one hand, and the Kurdish movement along the Syrian -Turkish borders which changed the priority of Turkey, and caused the focus on preventing the emergence of a connected Turkish line that depends on the control over Ain Al Arab Kobani on the other hand. Thus the wars of Kobani which is waded by ISIS under the sponsorship of Turkey are the first incident in the north, where the involvement of ISIS in this war to regain Kobani in order to compensate the loses from which it suffered in Tal Abyad was a reason for ISIS to concentrate on the north in the battles with the Kurds, after the West front towards Qalamoun on the basis on controlling over Palmyra had become controlled with a coherent equation where the Syrian army has succeeded in fortifying its sites in the northwest of Palmyra and furthermore through regaining sites that were under the control of ISIS, moreover, Hezbollah has succeeded in affecting the prestige of ISIS after it had succeeded in breaking the ability of Al-Nusra in Al Qalamoun wars.
Only the South was left to be a suitable place for achieving the victory which the war alliance needs before the end of June, the date of impending merits regionally especially concerning the declaration of the results of the negotiation about the Iranian nuclear program, where all the potentials in the south from Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Israel, Jumblatt, Jordan , and Qatar, and followed by all the west and as is shown by the flinging artillery and missile goals of the armed groups by long-range heavy weapons from inside the Jordanian borders and with targeting based on intelligence information were unable to be achieved by the militants without the service of the satellites of the super powers to provide the militants with them hour by an hour.
A whole war has occurred in three days, a war that has huge political, media, and moral maneuver, its title is neutralizing Sweida, and a perfect military maneuver, entitled attacking Al-Hadr and the people are preparing themselves psychologically for one of two connected events, either the fall of Al-Hadr and committing massacres in it or the announcement of neutralizing Sweida otherwise it will be attacked, but the attack was surprising in Daraa. Where in this attack there are tactics, crowds, coordinated fire, plans, and maneuvers which are prepared in professional operational rooms that surpass the minds of the armed groups which its military planning has been shown in many of its previous processes some of which have succeeded and some of which have failed, even it can be said for sure, that the failure of the plan of Daraa’s invasion is impossible unless it is the beginning of the failure of the entire war.
The plans were opposed by other plans, crowds by crowds, and fire by fire, moreover the two teams which exchanged the profit and the loss for more than fifty months are standing against each other, they need this confrontation in a hostile encounter in which they have enough reasons not to link the failure with the fiery circumstances, human supplies, and the geographical background to the extent that it can be said freely that the conditions of the militants from these aspects, and having the lead of initiative and maneuver make them in the best site to win the war, and make the victory of the Syrian army a sign that goes beyond the resilience, the ability to withstand and prevent the attackers.
What is happened in the South front is the starting of the pivotal change in the course of war, so it is enough to observe what is going on in the front that concerned the attackers of Daraa after the collapse of the operational room and the resignation of its responsible who remain alive, the accusation of disloyalty of each other, in addition to the insults which they exchange in the communication pages, and the condolences of Walid Jumblatt to himself maybe because he believes that Sweida will be the next, if Daraa has been fallen by the hands of his allies, and his certainty that the plan of falling Sweida in his favor has been buried with the leaders of Al-Nusra who have been buried under the rubble of the operational room, he knows as well that who has died there is the remaining of the war project against Syria, and what the Syrian army has achieved there by killing hundreds of elite of the imported militants, and officials from controlled and participant countries in this war is exceeding just a winning battle, it is the starting of resolving the track and the fate of the war.
Translated by Lina Shehadeh,
2015-06-30 | عدد القراءات 2348
