Dotting the I’S & Crossing the T’S
Nowadays, between Gaza and Golan there is a kinship
Written by Nasser Kandil,
The panned road map for Saudi Arabia and Turkey in order to descend the tree of the war against Syria through the multiple Russian and Iranian initiatives which some of them were with the coordination of America, and despite their difficulties they seem as a phase for each one of them to cope with the new stage which the region has entered after the nuclear understanding, while Israel seems that it is not capable of such adjustment and it seems that no one has a road map for it, which means that what is expected is that Israel has its own road map to cope with these changes after it seemed that there was a change that surpassed the Israeli capacity has occurred.
The active hostilities are part of the expected Israeli scenario, but now the thought is that the military action may lead to a new scene in the region, that is denied by the Israeli actions, as when it provoked an action that called a response from the resistance and thus it got the choice of responding against the response and going to war but it chose the retreat and just talking about absorbing the shocks despite all the talk of the intention to go to war besides to the preparations, maneuvers, and the readiness.
If Israel was able to change the equation of power with Iran or Syria or the resistance then it would have put this force paper on the American table before signing the nuclear understanding, because neither the American negotiation with Iran was an interesting trip nor the understanding was a cake but it was the poison which its tasting was inevitable. If Washington had have a glimmer of hope of changing the balances of negotiation then it would have waited this change, what could be better and nicer than negotiating with Iran after a blow that affects its prestige or after causing a real harm that change the equation with Syria or in it or targeting a strategic blow to the resistance. When Washington has signed the understanding it signed implicitly on the certainty that it has not and none of its allies at their forefront Israel has the ability to change the balances of force through which the understanding has been formulated.
Israel is aware that the mission of the military actions in drawing its road map is indispensable, as it is aware of the impossibility of the unilateralism depending on the force to create a new reality that allows it to cope with the variations; it is incapable of going to war as it is incapable to go to peace, since the bill of war is beyond its capacities as well as the bill of peace. The equation was known that the peace which can be signed by any Israeli official will lead to the overthrowing of the Palestinian official who signed it, and the peace which is signed by any Palestinian official will lead to the overthrow of the Israeli official who signed that peace.
Israel has grasped the opportunity which it does not want to miss as an outcome of the role which it played since the beginning of the war against Syria, it has succeeded with the cooperation with Turkey and Qatar to use the Muslim Brotherhood on one hand and Al-Qaeda organization with its Damascene branch Al Nusra Front on the other hand in the equation of hostility towards Syria and the resistance without feeling of embarrassment at their appearance on a coordination with Israel, It is the time for spending this balance at this Turkish Qatari distress moment, which its reason is the anxiety of loss and marginalizing and at the moment when America followed by the West shows a certain desire of ensuing the support of Israel to the nuclear understanding or accepting it and adapting with its consequences.
Israel moves according to the equation that is based on a bilateralness; opening a negotiation with Hamas Movement under the title that the final Palestinian country is only Gaza Strip, but in case it is granted the characteristics that are closer to the characteristics of a country such as airport, port, and border crossings but under the Turkish control and guarantee, and with Qatari funding that invests all the fatigue and the suffering of Gaza within a truce of twenty five years, through which the resistance stops practically and that everything is related to the Palestinian issue will be put in the refrigerators of formal negotiation freezing, while Israel continues in Judaize the West Bank and Jerusalem and continues its control over the occupied territories since 1948, it expands its security to terminate everything that is related to the resistance in the West Bank, In contrast Turkey, the Muslim Brotherhood and who is responsible for the process of solution among the leadership of Hamas are committed themselves to stop every type of the resistance actions in Gaza especially ending the situation of the Islamic Jihad. On the parallel bank and within this bilateralness Israel is controlling over the armed groups in the South of Syria that work with Israeli Saudi Jordanian partnership especially Al Nusra Front which has an exclusive Israeli Turkish referntiality to prevent the repetition of the Saudi uniqueness in accepting the search for a settlement with Syria, in addition to the anticipation of transferring the war from Al Zabadani to Al Quneitra through military messages, their content is that this time Israel is a military partner in the South of Syria but at the expense of Turkey.
Israel want to escalate the situation in Golan and to calm it down in Gaza, so it asks Washington to culminate the two issues with endings that are issued by the Security Council such as the Resolution 1701 one for Gaza and the other for Golan in order to be within an immunity in the north, east and south, in return it asks for Turkey from Washington to stop the Kurds in order to ensure the victory of the Turkish President Recep Erdogan in the coming election after two months and a place in the negotiation table regarding Syria. The Israeli consideration is that America will find an acceptable cost in front of the coexistence of Israel and its positive adaptation with the post nuclear understanding phase, so the victim is the Palestinian authority on one hand and the Kurds on the other hand while the scapegoat is the Islamic Jihad. The Muslim Brotherhood will be granted in addition to Gaza some kind of the American intervention to provide them with the protection through Turkey either in Egypt or Libya or all else, in order to make Gaza the capital of the Arab Brotherhood as Ankara is their Islamic capital.
Translate by Lina Shehadeh,
2015-08-24 | عدد القراءات 1845
