Dotting the I’S & Crossing the T’S
Lebanon between Saudi Arabia & Qatar
Dismantling the stability and the government together
Written by Nasser Kandil,
There is a share of influence in Lebanon between Saudi Arabia and Qatar, its source is the funding in the same range and for the same purposes, and for serving the same project. It seems that the inconsistency in timing or the uniqueness in the calendar has ended; they have the same project which under its title they work where Lebanon seems to be its most important arena. What is remarkable is that when Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, and Kuwait have decided to prevent their citizens from travelling to Lebanon, Qatar did not join them up, not because it is out of the flock but because the role is different.
The Saudi announcement of preventing the citizens from travelling to Lebanon is not justified in the security situation unless Saudi Arabia is doing what the Americans have done on the eve of their preparing for July war by asking its citizens to evacuate Lebanon or to abolish what they and the Americans have agreed upon with Iran and its allies by making the security stability of Lebanon a red line that is unreachable and is protected by the equations of dialogue on one hand and forming the government which they obliged their allies to participate in it on the other hand, moreover, preventing any impulsive actions in approaching the presidential elections or in managing the governmental affair, in a way it recalls the situation of the year 2008 which is led by the Prime Minister Fouad Al-Siniora towards the explosion which is culminated on the fifth of May by a resolution of getting rid of the communication network of the resistance, thus it led to what is known as the events of the seventh of May which were followed by the talks of Doha and ended with the famous agreement which has its name, and which was led for having the Commander of the army the General Suleiman as a president. That agreement seemed apparently a political victory to Hezbollah and its ally General Michel Aoun by including an election law that is inspired from the law of the year 1960, and which depended on the judiciary with its administrative unit as an electoral center on one hand and where the resistance and its allies had the guaranteeing third in the government on the other hand.
The facts that followed carrying out Doha’s Agreement reveal that the winner of the agreement was the team which consisted of Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and America. So neither the electoral law nor the guaranteeing third have compensated the loss that is resulted of the arrival of president to the republic who depended on Saudi Arabia and Qatar in necessity and who had the feeling of hostility towards the resistance and its allies, and neither the electoral law nor the guaranteeing third have provided a parliamentary representation and furthermore a governmental composition that forms a guarantee for either the resistance or its allies while they provided accompanied by the presidency the permanent opportunity for Saudi Arabia and Qatar and who is working with them in Lebanon to take over the authority and its institutions.
The crisis which is ignited by the Lebanese presidential elections has come within regional and international dire situations, It is clear that the attainable solution is still far and what Lebanon grants for the parties of the bilateral alliance Saudi and the Qatari is still an accumulating arena instead of being an arena for solutions and settlements. The Saudis have revealed in public their intention to escalate the situation against Hezbollah in an issued statement of Saudi source as a comment on the meeting which included the Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman with the head of the National Security Council in Syria the Major General Ali Mamlouk and what it included of a campaign against Hezbollah by considering it the main enemy of Saudi Arabia in the region in addition of making it bears later the responsibility of the Saudi failure in Syria, Iraq and Yemen concerning all presented attitudes by Saudi Arabia.
On the other hand, what Lebanon is witnessing within the agitating movement which is led and funded by Qatar for the demonstrations that were launched under the banner of organizations of civil community that is related to Doha Forum for the civil organizations, and which was chaired by the Princess Moza Bint Masnad, and transmitted by the media means that are funded by Qatar as a statement number one for the revolution of the Lebanese people to establish the country which the Lebanese people dream of, in addition to the attempts of concealing the ongoing investigations concerning the scandal of financing, taking after, and operating the suspended Ahmed Al Aseer, and which are related to the people of Saudi Arabia and Qatar and followed by the bombings in the camp of Ain Al Hilwa which is handled by the Palestinian groups who are funded and operated by Qatar. This shows that Qatar is handling the bombing file securely from the center of Beirut to Ain Al Hilwa, and Saudi Arabia is handling the political bombing from dismantling the government to managing the escalation against Hezbollah and its allies.
Yesterday the government has witnessed igniting the situation in Lebanon by the insistence of the team of Saudi Arabia to proceed in the signed decrees in contrast to the principle of consensus in practicing the government for the powers of the president in case of vacancy, this calls from all the ministers to sign instead of the president which means obliging Hezbollah and its allies to leave the government and making the government one of two options either a caretaker government or a government of the majority like the government of Al-Siniora but in both cases pushing Lebanon into a dark tunnel which means the start of end of the stage of stability which it lived since the formation of the government of Salam.
In Lebanon there is who is knocking the bells of escalation to repeat a scene that is similar to what was before and after Doha Agreement, So Hezbollah and its allied must not go on in this experience and must have an imagination that innovates new scenarios for confrontation and the nature of the solutions.
Translated by Lina Shehadeh,
2015-08-27 | عدد القراءات 2126
