Written by Nasser Kandil,

Maybe the Saudis pay attention and maybe out of malice they do not notice , they just read from the speech of Al Sayyed Hassan Nasrollah what is enough to conclude that it is an escalated speech, but the Israelis surely will pay attention if not today then tomorrow after they come out of the shock of the easy saying that Al Sayyed has asserted the old equations, the clever of them will remember that they are dealing with a man not like any other man, and if they found his speech a confirmation of what was before they should reconsider it once again till they discover what was new between the lines, and those who make the strategic equations with whom was left of them notice that the composite equation for them and for the Saudis is interrelated with each other thus  they have to decode the both sides till they get the point and instead of feeling comfortable they infected stunned.

Al Sayyed has drawn an equation for the Israelis through discussing their international and regional bets, his speech has summarized them in confidence through the firmness of the alliance which combines Syria, the resistance, Iran, and Russia and the coordination of the steps of this alliance by details to say; first do not waste your time with the illusions of the bets on the conflicting of considerations, pressures, and messages among the parties of this alliance in order to penetrate among them. Second, Al Sayyed has settled the details of his reading of the surrounding scene of the war on Syria to reach to a dual equation, its basis is that the stability of the Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad is an agreed  red line in every settlement or any political solution on one hand, and that any return to the field confrontation means further progress of the Syrian army and its allies on the other hand, especially after the success in imposing the exclusion on the Trojan horse which all the opponents of Syria are betting on and which is represented by Al –Nusra Front from any truce or ceasing-fire or political solution. Third, Al Sayyed has resolved that the Americans have admitted of a draft settlement in Syria that puts the priority for the war on terrorism and where the President Al-Assad is a part of , while the Turks are thinking, and the matter is related to Saudi Arabia to save its failure in Syria and Yemen by entering the settlements instead of the announced war against Hezbollah.

Overthrowing the Israeli bets on wars by proxy was mentioned gradually in the speech of Al Sayyed till he arrived to Saudi Arabia, so he drew the patience equation instead of the confrontation, overthrowing the Israeli bet on alluring him to the game of the security engagement which the Israeli has succeeded through the temptation of the Saudi to start it, he promised him of the lie of intervention to support him in need, thus the message of Al Sayyed to the Saudis is through an equation; do not bother yourselves, neither the balances will change in Syria or Yemen, nor we will meet your attrition by searching for a confrontation, nor Israel is able to wage a war as it pledged to you, but it just wants to involve you more, so there is no alternative before you but the acceleration in enrolling the settlements before your losses increase, because every missed day by you means more losses.

After Al Sayyed had caused the fall of the Israeli bet on the alternative war which they want Saudi Arabia to wage it on their behalf through a promise of intervention, and after he had determined the approach of confrontation by patience, he turned toward the Israelis to draw the equation of his strategic deterrence which means the end of the race of the horror balance, its basis is a complicated understanding of the composition of the military and economic geography of the Israeli wars, which based on the weakness of the natural geographical scope of the occupied Palestinian territory, and the turning of the entity’s geography into a peninsula besieged by land and sea in any war, this imposes in the absence of the security depth a permanent Israeli fear of a war that obliges the Israeli leadership to behave always on the basis of the fear of the dissociation from the outside, and the loss of the necessary storage of the war as weapons, ammunition, fuel , electricity, vital consumables , thus this requires that Israel will measure the sources of its strength and ability for waging wars with quantities of its reserve stock which are available in big amounts in its fortified warehouses, and which were stored far from the pointless of weapons which are possessed by who is considered as its dangerous enemy , therefore it is the weak point of Israel which the resistance has held after it has reached the stage in which it can say to the Israelis that there is no secure depth on which you depend in your strategic storage, because our missiles can affect every point of Palestine and infect accurately all its goals, as well they can penetrate enough of your fortifications to blow up and destroy every storage you have, and turning this  storage into explosive air flame balls that spread over the occupation’s geography, so be considered that making the areas under your control safe from the risk of the destructive resounding targeting requires to be free of any stocks of fuel, gases, ammonia, nuclear reactors and other of the materials which can be transformed into sources of self-destruction upon their receipt any target that  can affect its goal accurately, it possesses an ability of penetrating the fortifications and bombing the inventory to be the bombs which the resistance has by proxy, in this case Israel has to free all areas, cities, valleys, and mountains of Occupied Palestine from any storage,  so either it wages the war for one day or prevents the war, and as the inventory decreases the days of war reduces, and whenever the inventory increases the ability of the resistance increases on destroying Israel by reaching its accurate effective missiles to bomb what has been stored, it bombes  through it by times what is around it.

The equation of the strategic deterrence was written by Al Sayyed, its basis is that Saudi Arabia has to choose between the difficult settlement today and the more difficult one tomorrow, and Israel has to chooses between the short war which facilitates its defeat and the long war which ensures its destroying itself in it, the equation is whenever Israel believes that it becomes stronger, it becomes weaker in front of the resistance and has become more accessible. The resistance has possessed and will possess everyday what is more of what it needs to achieve the most accurate and most effective for this goal, the issue is neither the ammonia plants nor the nuclear reactors, but it is all what Israel needs to store in order to feel reassured, because the resistance which will feel of reassurance because the reasons of destroying and the demise of Israel have become at the resistance hands, as long as it has a set of information that reveal all what Israel has accurately, it has a missile network that covers the whole area of Palestine that will not leave the depth of the entity safe anymore since it targets its goals accurately and penetrates the fortifications which protect the reserve stock of every type and class, moreover it can bomb it and turn it into an igniting volcano.

Translated by Lina Shehadeh,

2016-03-26 | عدد القراءات 1988