Kerry “Adel is foolish…. And Steffan is cheap”

Written by Nasser Kandil,

Many observers, politicians, and analysts in the East more than the West incline toward mono-interpretation that links everything that is going on in the alliance’s front which is led by Washington with the programmed pre- planned American will, in a way that gives an impression about America which does not mistake, which is not debilitated, and surely which is not defeated. So how can imagine that America which its allies are under its protect isolate it, or rather how dare they think of imposing their positions on it, and how dare any one to imagine that. Most of the analyses which dealt with the Turkish coup and its failure are characterized with this tendency, but it impresses strongly the approaches which are dedicated to the war on Syria.

Those are difficult to be convinced that Washington has become so week after the failure of its second imperial military campaign which launched in 2000 with the neo-conservatives towards Asia, after the first campaign has launched in 1990 towards Europe in the reign of the Democratic Bill Clinton on the day after the fall of the Soviet Union, and after it caused the fall of “Iraq” and “Afghanistan”. The European Yugoslavia has been fragmented under a fierce war that devoted the theory of war with zero losses, while the European Czechoslovakia has been split under pressure, blockade, the taming and subjecting wars, and arousing the ethnicities and the races. Till all the fragments of the two great countries have become a part of the Western protectorates that resort to the protection of  the rising American project under the title of the attractive European Union, as an alternative of the repellent project that causes the headache entitled the NATO. The first campaign was able to reach the borders of Russia through two main colored revolutions that caused the fall of the European Egypt and Tunisia, one in Georgia and the other in Ukraine, the European tripartite that includes the united Germany, France, and Britain has been formed to sponsor these protectorates and to manage the siege on the Russian castle, which means the European Iran, hoping the fall of its front defense line in Belarus or in the European Syria.

The colored revolutions have taken place in the phase of the second imperial campaign with George Bush, but his goals were Asian, and what has happened with the colored revolutions was a continuation of the repercussions of the first campaign which its goals were European, and its goals have been achieved successfully, waiting the success of the second campaign, in order to make Iran and Syria under siege, and thus to be fallen. The Asian mainland paves the way for the absolute American control, and allows the reconsideration of the military status of Israel and the political status of Saudi Arabia subsequently, but mainly it allows the control on sites, resources, and the  corridors of energy as was documented and explained in the US energy report which consists of nearly one thousand pages and which the US Congress has approved it in 2000 as a framework for the strategic plan of the second imperial campaign, showing the importance of the basin of the Caspian Sea, the status of Iran and Kazakhstan in it, the vital status of Iraq towards the oil of gas of the Mediterranean Sea, and the strategic lines that isolate Iran's gas from China through Afghanistan, and isolate Russia's gas from Europe through Qatari substitute across Syria and Turkey. It can be said that the second campaign was a reproduction that lacks the creativity to the first campaign and a bad and exaggerated applying of its lessons. So as Afghanistan and Iraq were failed examples of wars of disintegration and subjecting Czechoslovakia and Yugoslavia, and as the revolutions of Egypt and Tunisia were gaunt examples of the revolutions of Georgia and Ukraine, the Turkish, Saudi, Israeli tripartite was a caricature example of the German, French, and Britain tripartite. However the excessive impolite use of Al –Qaeda organization in the wars of Syria and Iraq was a repetitive of the role of the organization in the war of Kosovo but with a limit of secrecy, suspicion, and reservation.

It was known that the successes of the first campaign will remain vulnerable to be affected unless the second campaign achieves the anticipated success, because without subjecting Iran and Syria, the siege of Russia and Iran will not complete, and Europe will not breathe or gets the revenues of its investments, sacrifices, and its high bills to include the Eastern European countries to a union that opens the market for its agricultural goods and destroys the local agriculture, as well as brings thousands of workers and the professionals to compete the middle and the poor classes in their livelihoods. The European dream waits the cheap gas flowing from the weak besieged Russia, and from Qatar after subjecting Syria, and that the European goods which were produced at a lower cost will defeat the Chinese goods which will besieged by the price of energy to produce at a higher cost. When the second campaign failed with its two military wings that are represented by the wars of Iraq and Afghanistan, and with its soft wing represented by the colored revolutions which are under the mediation of the intervention of Al-Qaeda on a basis of a project that is similar to the dream of the European Union that has the title of the new Ottoman, where the failure in the two cases was Syrian, the spears of the first and the second campaigns began to decline. Therefore the signs of the integration and the weakness have been shown on the two rising projects the European Project and the new Ottoman. Al –Qaeda has moved from the rules of control and dominance and has become a project that has its goals in its two branches the official and the revised Al-Nusra and ISIS. Russia has emerged as an active versed player that its influence extends from the Middle East to Europe, and it became certain according to the deep American mind that Iran and Syria have escaped from the circle of danger. And that the admission of this fact and its translating into politics depend on the ability of the Israeli Turkish, Saudi tripartite to absorb and to bear the consequences and to make use of the arrogance and the stubbornness of that tripartite to improve the conditions of this admission.

The war on terrorism was the only available exit to justify the inevitable American turn, in spite the credibility of what is said about the American deception and cunning, the admission of the limits of the ability to change constitutes the characteristic of American pragmatism, and the moving to plan (B) was a stable tradition that does not bear hesitation or a moment of remorse. Plan (B) is the preparation for a battle that admits of the failure in the current battle. In the Syrian case it is the preparation for parliamentary and presidential elections that reserve an important seat in the future of Syria and the cooperation with Russia to get rid of ISIS, even if the cost is the acceptance and the partnership to get rid of Al-Nusra and an attempt to employ the American investment which is isolated from the allies in the understanding on the Iranian nuclear program. This isolation was neither absurd nor by coincidence to reach a complete deal that allows the control of a regional system that ensures the stability in the basin that stretches from the borders of Russia with Turkey to the borders of Afghanistan with China, that it cannot be completed without preparing Israel for a settlement that promotes the Palestinian Cause that allows talking about a partnership with Russia about it, and without  preparing Turkey and Saudi Arabia to accept regional roles of less importance. Any observer of the regional scene cannot overlook preparing the platforms and equipping the theatres for these changes.

Because the knot of all the wars is in Syria, so the knot of all settlements is in Syria, but the contradiction between what the American realizes and what can reveal it to his allies and to the public is the issue, who will dare to say publicly it is inevitable to cooperate with the Syrian President, to admit of the failure of overthrowing him, and to admit that he is a founder pillar of the new regional system. Here is the mission of the UN Envoy to Syria Steffan De Mistura and before him was Al Akhdar Al-Ibrahimi with the developments of the new scene with the ends of his mission. If each one of them was mere an expert politician that gets the signs and does not embarrass the American by asking for a statement that cannot be declared, then he would find exits as what the UN Envoy to Yemen is doing by linking the UN resolution 2216 with a settlement that based on a national unified government that constitutes a condition for the success of the settlement, and the resolution which constitutes alone an implicit call for the Yemenis to surrender in front of the Saudi invasion which failed, so it was similar to the first statement of Geneva through its birth in the light of balances of forces that changed, and thus it does not fit the variables, it calls Syria implicitly to surrender in front of the American invasion through its Saudi Turkish and Israeli effects which failed too, so it needs to link it with the call for elections that will be held after the wining in the war on terrorism, under a constitution that is produced by the Syrian Syrian dialogue, while De Mistura preceded by Al Ibrahimi remained on the most extremist bank in the hostility towards Syria within the alliance led by Washington, where the Saudi money kept putting them in the position of causing the embarrassment to Washington, by claiming the translation of its public speech and not its actual aspirations for what should the UN envoy do and get the satisfaction of Washington.

In the last visit to Moscow the US Secretary of State John Kerry said in a council that its reverberations have reached to the active Russian journalists that the Saudi Foreign Minister is foolish and freshman in all what he said about Russia, and the expectation of its abandoning the Syrian President as well as the proposals to Russia through financial offers and promises of its participation in the influence of the Middle East and granting it the temptations to cooperate in the oil markets, Kerry added that he expected from Russia to take what it found an interest for it from the Saudis as improving the relationships and leaving the rest as the politics about Syria by showing its impossibility not rejecting it. Russia can say that it does not mind the departure of the Syrian President but it is not able, or it does not mind the stepping down of the president but he does not accept, but he said that the Americans were not surprised with the foolishness of Adel as their surprising from that Steffan is cheap. This has happened after the end of the Russian American understanding, which the Russian informed sources said that it was greater than the expectations of Washington's allies and what they will hear by trail from the American officials during the left coming months of the mandate of the US President Barack Obama. In short  through devoting Al-Assad as a regional pillar without clamorous declaration, since he is the indispensable partner in the war on ISIS which Washington needs more than it needs the theories of Al-Jubeir and the initiatives of De Mistura who seems that he is invited to pack his diplomatic bags after new failed round in Geneva talks!

Translated by Lina Shehadeh,

2016-07-27 | عدد القراءات 1971