Nasser Kandil wrote: No American-Israeli war

Many people questioned about the meaning of Saudi Arabia's spending its last balance in Lebanon which is represented by the Prime Minister Saad Al-Hariri and turning him in best conditions into a political refugee in Saudi Arabia and a source of televised recordings that spread the hostility against Hezbollah, Syria, and Iran.
Most of the analysts imagined big scenarios for the region for the post-resignation phase, they supposed that it is the outcome of the continuous coordination between the Saudi-American-Israeli escalating positions, so they found that the only thing which deserves a step like that is to launch US-Israeli war against Syria and Lebanon and maybe against Iran, but at least to launch an Israeli war against Lebanon.
It is normal for every observer of the situation of Lebanon to exclude the possibility of the conviction of the Saudis that the resignation could lead to explode the Lebanese internal situation against Hezbollah.
The question is the war probable?
The answer is if there is a war, the resignation does not benefit it anymore, but perhaps it benefits more Al-Hariri while he is a Prime Minister in confusion and in transferring the conditions.
The war itself is not possible, because the tests experienced by the American with the fall of the project of the secession of Kurdistan, and the fall of the red line drawn by the Americans in front of the access of the Syrian army to the borders with Iraq or in front of its crossing the Euphrates proved that the US considerations of the results of the war and its cost and the aspired hopes lead them to dismiss it.
The Israeli war is not possible, because its condition is to ensure not to take the risk of defeat which is not born by Israel, and its second condition is to ensure the bearing of its consequences but Israel is aware that its internal structure is weak to bear.
There will be no wars; the resignation may confuse the considerations and tense the surrounding situations but it will not change the equations.