Written by Nasser Kandil,
The American talk about the desire to stay in Syria does not constitute a strategic speech about a position that needs deeper than a cover till verifying the course of settlements, as the size of supporting the Kurdish independent entity, waging a war of protecting the division of Syria , or waging a war of overthrowing the Syrian President and paving the way for the birth of a government that legitimizes the US presence in Syria, other than that it is a presence in the wartime that searches for a cover, its owners are aware that whenever the forces of war seemed towards decay and their pretexts are towards demise, they will negotiate on other things in order to stay, his is how the Americas are doing today, the negotiation on the arrangements of the South of Syria, the negotiation on raising the ceiling of the Kurdish privacy, and the negotiation on the future of the strategic passage between Iran and the forces of the resistance across Iraq and Syria, in addition to the size of the military flows and their effects on the balances of the region, As the timing of the Kurds’ choice becomes closer between getting involved in the political process and the waiver of the military privacy or confronting the choice of the military resolving as the ceiling of the US negotiating papers decreases.
Today, the forces which control the Syrian geography are a quadripartite the Syrian country, the resistance, Iran, and Russia, they do not have differences especially towards the two issues of the departure of the Americans and the prevention of keeping Kurdish weapons or a geographical privacy under the Kurdish control in Syria. These forces do not have considerations that prevented them in the past from colliding with red lines drawn by Washington and which were more vital than the Kurdish privacy in the US account, especially the fate of the Syrian-Iraqi borders. These forces were waging their battle to have control on the borders while they put the assumption of the great collision with Washington; they moved forward no matter what was the cost. This is known by Washington, so now it puts into its consideration what Robert Ford; its former ambassador in Damascus has already said that by the end of ISIS, Washington will pack its bags, because there is no other choice in front of it. The one who abandoned the project of a Kurdish state in Iraq because it does not want a war with Iran and its allies will not collide under the slogan of Kurdish state in Syria.
The American ceilings are resolved respectively as the case of the Syrian opposition. Sochi is exist as an alternative to Geneva, as long as Geneva is not ready to lead to a solution that ends with a unified government, constitution, and elections under the leadership of the Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad, as the unified delegation of the opposition which is postponed till the political option towards a settlement becomes ready. In parallel with dull Geneva Sochi meeting will be held in better conditions, through the openness to the Kurds, provided that to announce the willingness to abandon the privacy of having control on a part of the Syrian geography. Astana is open to them too; and open to the Turks in order to accomplish their task by terminating Al Nusra front in Idlib and its countryside, but the deadlines are not open, the end of the year will be a date of the practical response of the Kurds and the Turks, so either a revival of the political process through the joining of the Kurds and the groups nominated by Turkey or a resolving that ends the Kurdish rebellion in the north and ends Al Nusra as ISIS has been eliminated.
The Americans know that but they do not want to rush, as they said before that the Syrian-Iraqi borders are red line and kept repeating that, and were trying to impose it, till the moment when the cost of the insistence became a great confrontation, and thus they retreated a step-backward, they will do so now. As long as there are unresolved small wars yet, so why to rush to declare the willingness to withdraw, maybe something will occur that will prevent the Syrian county from re-having control on its geography. The Americans are ready to encourage all the elements of disruption, including the encouragement of the Kurds to escalate and to support Al-Nusra front as their support of ISIS previously, till the approach of the moment of their choice between retreating a step-backward or waging the great confrontation, so they will do what they already done with the Syrian-Iraqi borders. Till then, the history will say that we are here until the verification of the settlement course, and they will remain occupiers in the eyes of Syria and its allies, so they will face the sword of resistance when the convergence moment becomes close.
Translated by Lina Shehadeh,
2017-11-27 | عدد القراءات 1986
