Written by Nasser Kandil,
Hezbollah’s opponents who made the policy of disassociation a title for their campaign and a title for Lebanon’s policy towards the regional axes and the outgoing conflicts in the region do not pay attention that they are cloning a slogan that was opposed by Hezbollah years ago and found it a confinement of its need to move in confronting the dangers and the challenges of war led by Washington and its allies to overthrow Syria, and for which all the Takfiri formations sponsored by Saudi Arabia were brought to wage it. The policy of disassociation was a call to prevent a decisive capable power of turning the scale against the objectives of the US war, and which is represented by Hezbollah in order not to engage in a war and breaks its equations, but today everything has changed, Hezbollah ended the mission and guarantees the results of victory in Syria and Iraq, it is only few months through which Hezbollah can make its southern front with Israel its first and only concern.
Hezbollah’s opponents do not pay attention that while they were asserting the policy of disassociation  that the regional alliance which they are following and which is led by Saudi Arabia has become affected with the policy of disassociation , it detained the Prime Minister in order to affect Hezbollah because it wants to join Lebanon to its axis against Iran and Hezbollah contrary to the concept of the policy of disassociation , this axis which lost everything in the region is no longer have what can enhance its negotiating position but its influence in Lebanon, while Iran is satisfied with its status and the status of its allies in Syria, Iraq, and Yemen regardless of any supportive positive issued by Lebanon or by its ally Hezbollah if this contributes in the internal settlement in which Hezbollah is involved, so can Saudi Arabia bear the silence of its Lebanese allies? For example, if Hezbollah is capable of stopping the statements against Saudi Arabia, will Al-Hariri be able to stop the statements against Iran, and if Hezbollah is capable not to praise Iran, will Al-Hariri be able not to praise Saudi Arabia?  If Hezbollah is ready to accept the consensus of stopping all the external interventions in Yemen and leaving Yemen to its people to decide through negotiation an appropriate political solution, and the same in Syria, Is Al-Hariri able to do so? At least if Hezbollah is ready to adopt a policy for the government its content is the neutrality between Iran and Saudi Arabia, is Al-Hariri is able to do so? And can Saudi Arabia accept that from him?
The choice of policy of disassociation as a title is unfortunate for Al-Hariri political interest; since he knows that his opponents from his party or his allies present the concept of policy of disassociation  that includes one direction, it is the policy of disassociation  of Hezbollah from the relationship with Iran, it aims only to embarrass Al-Hariri and to weaken him in front of Saudi Arabia, he experienced this provocation himself, as he knows that this equation of policy of disassociation  is not appropriate to be presented at any dialogue, because the content of policy of disassociation  is to be far from the seeking to employ the policy of the government in favor of your axis, and thus others will distance from the seeking to employ the policy of the government in favor of their axis. If Hezbollah is capable so are you capable? Al-Hariri knows as well that the insurance policy which got him out of the impasse has been provided by an international regional interference that rushed to prevent the destabilization of Lebanon, not only to prevent the Saudi scandal by detaining the Prime Minister of a sovereign country that its institutions were moving in order to set him free. All the European reports agree that the fall of the government and the chaos of the Lebanese situation will drive thousands of the Syrian refugees to Europe along with the dormant cells and the deterrent incubating environment which will not necessarily be deterred when they become European.
The French-Egyptian care given to the Prime Minister Al-Hariri has provided an appropriate  opportunity for a relative independence from Saudi Arabia, but whatever he does he will not get the Saudi satisfaction, so he can trust that those who have supported him in his ordeal at their forefront the President of the Republic, the Speaker of the Parliament, Hezbollah, and the Deputy Walid Jumblatt, they are ready to help him to reach to a consensual formula that relieves him, but he has to think well before demanding, will the formula which he will find logical satisfies the Saudis? And will their war against him by proxy stop? Therefore. Is his interest to propose a consensual formula that will be attacked and he will be accused through it with giving up?  As the former minister of defense Ashraf Rifi said that Al-Hariri returned to arresting by announcing taking time, or is Al-Hariri’s interest to make use of all the elements of force which he got during the ordeal and go to the early elections?
Al-Hariri’s position in today’s elections will be better than his position six months later, and the position of his opponents from his party who were his allies yesterday is the most difficult now not after six months, while the position of his traditional opponents who are his partners in rule will not change whether today or after six months. The discussion of the settlement after the elections will be better for many reasons, as the formation of new government in good circumstances, during which the settlement of Yemen and Syria will be in process, Hezbollah will return officially from Syria and Iraq, as well as the Russian-American understandings will pave the way for the beginning of Saudi-Iranian negotiation, so will Al-Hariri consider it well?
Translated by Lina Shehadeh,

2017-11-29 | عدد القراءات 2173